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Early voting data: Clinton underperforms Obama in key state

(CNN, Channel News Asia) — The political consensus is virtually unanimous: If Hillary Clinton wins North Carolina, Donald Trump has to win every other competitive state to take the White House.

Clinton has other paths to victory without North Carolina, but the state has been a focus for Democrats this cycle. She has led in most public opinion polling there since the summer. Just 12 days ago, a New York Times poll had her leading by 7 points, and the CNN poll of polls currently has her ahead by 4 points.

But a CNN analysis of early voting paints a very different picture and suggests that Clinton has underperformed President Obama’s 2012 performance in the Tar Heel State and Trump has outperformed Mitt Romney.

It might seem that Democrats have built up a big early lead. More than 1.3 million Democrats have already voted compared to 990,000 Republicans.

Meanwhile Trump has said that countries in Asia such as China, India and Singapore are taking away jobs from Americans, according to Channel News Asia.

Speaking at a campaign rally in Florida on Sunday (Nov 6), Trump told his supporters that they are “living through the greatest jobs theft in the history of the world”, saying that the United States has lost about 70,000 factories since China joined the World Trade Organization.

“There’s never been a country that’s lost jobs like we do, so stupidly, so easy to solve,” he said.

“Goodrich Lighting Systems laid off 255 workers and moved their jobs to India. Baxter Health Care laid off 199 workers and moved their jobs to Singapore. It’s getting worse and worse and worse.”

He singled out Florida, a key battleground state at every election due to its 29 Electoral College votes on offer, as one of the states keenly affected by the jobs’ flight.

“Florida has lost one in four of its manufacturing jobs since the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), a deal signed by Bill Clinton and supported by Hillary,” he said.

Trump also spoke about his plans to ensure companies avoid retrenching workers in Florida, saying they would be taxed heavily if they returned to the US.

“If a company wants to fire their workers, leave Florida, move to another country, and then shift their product back into the United States, we will make them pay a tax of 35 per cent,” he said.

“They’re never going to leave this country. They’re never leaving. They’re never going to leave this country. A Trump administration will renegotiate NAFTA. If we don’t get the deal we want, we will terminate NAFTA and get a much better deal for our workers.”

Trump then took another dig at Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, when he said he would nix the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), which he claims would kill off American jobs. Clinton has called the TPP the “gold standard” of trade deals.

“Yeah, it’s the gold standard for other countries, not for us,” said Trump. “The gold standard for the countries that want to be part of that deal.”

Trump added: “As part of our plan to bring back jobs, we’re going to lower taxes on American business from 35 per cent to 15 per cent. We’re the highest taxed nation in the world, one of the main reasons companies are leaving. We will massively cut taxes for the middle class, also.”

CAPTION:

Top: The US 2016 election is almost upon us and we will soon know the outcome of the race to the White House. Photo: Diego Cambiaso (CC-BY-SA-2.0)

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